Why is it taking Iran so long to make a nuclear weapon? Didn’t it only take the US four years to invent them?
- asks Herman Blount of Birmingham, AL
**Changes were made to this story on November 25, 2007. They are noted with parenthetical numbers. Please see corrections below.
Iran and its nuclear program appears a great deal in the news these days, even with estimates that they are five to ten years away from completing a nuclear weapon. To understand why it’s taken Iran over 18 years to build a bomb, one needs to consider the steps it takes to build a bomb, and differences between the conditions in which Iran and the U.S. pursued this technology.
Early in the last century, scientists discovered radiation. Radiation is the release of gamma rays, high-powered electromagnetic energy 100 times stronger than X-rays, and neutrons, one of the constituents of atomic nuclei (an atom’s center core).
When the neutrons flying out of a radioactive atom’s nucleus strike the nucleus of another atom, the force of the impact can split the target nucleus like a bullet through an apple. The effect of splitting an atomic nucleus with a neutron is called fission, and the result – if enough other radioactive atoms are nearby – is a chain reaction of split nuclei and released neutrons. There is a tremendous release of energy from the nuclei splitting, and it is this energy that is harnessed to make a bomb. The minimum amount of radioactive material needed to start the fission chain reaction that can lead to a nuclear explosion is called the “critical mass.” When radioactive material assembles in critical mass without a material such as lead or carbon to dampen the chain reaction, the result is a nuclear explosion.
In order to build a nuclear bomb that implodes (1) at precisely the right time, small bits of radioactive material are mashed together in a single moment to achieve critical mass (and thus an ensuing explosion). Scientists do not see putting the bomb together as the hard or time-consuming part, according to Mark Sackitt, a nuclear proliferation expert at Brookhaven National Laboratory. The difficulty, he says, in developing an atomic bomb comes not from designing and assembling the bomb itself, but from producing the nuclear material itself.
The uranium (2) for the bomb must be enriched – a process in which two naturally occurring isotopes are separate from each other. An isotope is an element, such as uranium, in which different atoms can have different numbers of neutrons, or neutrally charged particles. Uranium, along with plutonium, are the only two elements used to make nuclear bombs (3).
Uranium comes in two common isotopes, U235, or enriched uranium, and U238, which is more common. The numbers denote the number of neutrons in the nucleus of each isotope. About 2 pounds of uranium undergoing fission (4) releases as much energy needed to run a 60 Watt light bulb for 47 million years. Only U235 can be made into a bomb, so the two naturally occurring isotopes need to be separated from each other in a process known as enrichment. Enrichment is the hardest part of making a nuclear weapon, because of the complexity and size of the machines involved.
By all accounts, Iran is trying to make their bomb out of uranium. Just because Iran knows the elements that go into making a bomb, doesn’t mean one will be easily produced: a nuclear program requires tremendous amounts of expertise and money to get off the ground.
According to “The Making of the Atomic Bomb” by Richard Rhodes, to build the uranium bomb that would eventually be dropped on Hiroshima, America needed to enrich 137 pounds of uranium. To separate that much U235 — as well as put together an atomic bomb — (5) the U.S. government developed a nuclear program during World War II, dubbed the Manhattan Project. Under the direction of this project, the largest building in the world at the time was constructed to house the uranium enrichment equipment. It was assembled by 20,000 construction workers, took 12,000 people to operate, and cost $6.1 billion, adjusted from 1941 into 2007 dollars. By the close of World War II, the Manhattan Project employed more Americans than the automobile industry. Once it was built, workers laboring for 24 hours a day, seven days a week, took three years to produce enough properly enriched uranium for the bomb
Six of the scientists working on the Manhattan Project had already won Noble Prizes, and another 15 involved with the Project would go on to win the Nobel Prize. The U.S. was able to collect such a unique group of scientists by offering asylum to the many Jewish physicists and chemists who fled the Nazi advance across Europe.
Iran, by contrast to the United States during World War II, does not have the money to spend on building a similarly sized enrichment apparatus, or the academic structure that would pull in experts — even though bomb design has advanced in the last 60 years to the point where only about 30 pounds of uranium is needed to build a bomb.
However, breakings news on November 18, 2007 may have rendered the argument of over Iran’s uranium enrichment program moot. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told the Dow Jones Newswire that he has been in discussions with some Arab nations to set up a uranium enrichment facility in Switzerland to provide fuel for a nuclear power plant.
An enrichment facility built by a technically advanced western nation would circumvent the development problems that would otherwise delay Iranian bomb construction. However, foreign enrichment would allow inspectors to monitor the use of the uranium to ensure that it was not enriched to the purity needed to make a nuclear weapon. This development still leaves open the possibility that the partially enriched uranium could be further enriched to weapons-grade once it arrives in Iran.
1. “implodes” replaced “explodes”
2. “uranium” replaced “radioactive material” — both plutonium and uranium are radioactive, but plutonium does not need to be enriched
3. “Uranium, along with plutonium, are the only two elements used to make nuclear bombs” replaced the sentence “Uranium, along with plutonium, are the two isotopic elements most used to make nuclear bombs”
4. “uranium undergoing fission” replaced “decaying uranium” — the two processes release different amounts of energy
5. “and to develop an atomic bomb” was inserted — the prior construction implied that the Manhattan Project was developed solely for uranium enrichment, which it was not